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Reality Bites: Generation Y Moving Home to Break Into the Real Estate Market Unprecedented number of 21 to 34 year olds living with mom and dad

Here's some news that might make parents nervous.  A BMO Bank of Montreal new survey of potential first-time homebuyers found that 29 per cent of Canadians between the ages of 21 and 34 are living with their parents while saving for their home down payment. In Canada's biggest cities, such as Toronto and Vancouver, the numbers are significantly higher,suggesting that staying on at the old homestead is considered the fastest route to jumping onto the property ladder.  

The BMO survey, conducted by Decima Research, polled 1,205 young adults aged 21 to 34 from Halifax, Montreal, Toronto, Winnipeg, Calgary and Vancouver who had aspirations to purchase a home in the ‘near' future.  According to the survey, almost one in three are living with their parents while they prepare to make the transition to home ownership.  

While it is no surprise that Canadians under the age of 30 are staying home longer, whether to attend school or save for a home purchase, what is surprising is the number of Canadians in the 31 to 34 years old category who are also still at home. According to the survey, the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), Halifax and Calgary have the highest percentage of ‘stay-at-homes' who are older than 31 years of age (22 per cent in the GTA and 17 per cent in both Halifax and Calgary).

“A red hot real estate market and rising home prices have likely contributed to this trend,” said Cid Palacio, Vice President, BMO Bank of Montreal.  “But these factors may also contribute to a sense of urgency amongst young first-time homebuyers who feel they don't have the requisite finances and may have to scramble to cobble together a down payment.  Some of this anxiety may be avoidable by developing a financial plan early that sets realistic short-term and long-term financial goals.”

Palacio noted that the BMO survey found a considerable gap between potential first-time buyers' expectations and their realities when it came to planning and saving to buy a home.   “We found that, although most young Canadians would like to purchase a home within the next few years, most do not have a practical plan to get there.”

According to the survey, Canadians between the ages 21 and 34, on average, have been saving for their down payment for only 1.6 years yet expect to take only a total of 3.8 years to save enough to commit to a purchase.  

“On average, young Canadians told us they expected to be able to amass a down payment representing 15.4 per cent of the cost of a new home by the time they are ready to make a purchase,” said Palacio.  “I'm concerned, however, that these expectations are unrealistically high given their low savings rate and the increasing cost of housing in markets across the country. 

Other findings include:

       30 per cent of all those with home ownership aspirations intend to take advantage of the First Time Home Buyers RRSP Plan as a major source of funding for the down payment. 

       60 per cent intend to rely primarily on savings or investments to make the purchase. 

       The average reported savings rate  (as a percentage of pre-tax income) of young Canadians polled breaks down as follows:

o        Across Canada -- 12.5 per cent.

o        In Toronto -- 14.3 per cent

o        In Vancouver  -- 13.3 per cent

o        In Halifax and Winnipeg -- 8.8 per cent 

o        Who live at ‘home' with their parents -- 16.6 per cent

o        Who are currently renting -- 11.0 per cent

“If the study reinforces one thing it is that more young Canadians need to sit down with a financial planning professional to develop a realistic game plan, if they are going to shorten their stay with their parents and make their home ownership dreams a reality,” said Ms. Palacio.

Ms. Palacio states that there are a number of steps which young Canadians should take in order to reach their home ownership goal sooner.   She recommends that first of all they consult a financial professional as early as possible to put together a financial plan that addresses both their short and long term goals.  This plan should address steps such as how to pay off debt sooner in order to free up more cash flow for their home down payment and developing a working monthly budget.

This poll, conducted by Decima Research from March 1 to March 9, 2007, was based on a randomly selected sample of 1205 Canadians 21 to 34 years old who do not currently own their own home from six major Canadian cities (Halifax, Montreal, Toronto, Winnipeg, Calgary and Vancouver) using Decima's proprietary online panel.  With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within 2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.   

A1_colm1.  How many years do you anticipate it will take to save for a down payment on your first home?

BASE:  Those with plans to purchase.

       

     City  

       

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Total

  Halifax

  Montreal

  Toronto

  Winnipeg

  Calgary

  Vancouver

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Unweighted 'N'

 913

167

172

189

65

149

171 

3 years or less

57%

32%

54%

63%

52%

64%

46%

4 to 5 years

29%

51%

30%

25%

24%

24%

35%

6 to 10 years

13%

16%

14%

10%

24%

10%

18%

11 years or more

2%

2%

2%

1%

 

2%

2%

MEAN

3.8

4.6

4.0

3.6

4.3

3.3

4.2

MEDIAN

3.0

5.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

2.0

4.0

A1_colm1.  How many years do you anticipate it will take to save for a down payment on your first home?

BASE:  Those with plans to purchase.

       

     Housing Status

Gender

  Age      

       

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Total

  Rent 

  Parents

   Male 

  Female

  21 - 25

  26 - 30

  31 - 34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Unweighted 'N'

 913

648

246 

320

593 

357

349

207 

3 years or less

57%

56%

59%

57%

56%

50%

53%

67%

4 to 5 years

29%

30%

25%

29%

28%

28%

32%

25%

6 to 10 years

13%

12%

15%

13%

14%

19%

13%

8%

11 years or more

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

MEAN

3.8

3.8

3.8

3.7

4.0

4.2

4.1

3.1

MEDIAN

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

2.0

A3_M.  What percent down payment do you anticipate being able to afford when you are ready to buy?

BASE:  Those with plans to purchase.

       

     City  

       

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Total

  Halifax

  Montreal

  Toronto

  Winnipeg

  Calgary

  Vancouver

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Unweighted 'N'

998

166

193

195

81

167

196

0%

1%

 

1%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

1% to 5%

12%

10%

17%

8%

22%

18%

9%

6% to 10%

29%

41%

35%

23%

24%

27%

33%

11% to 15%

19%

19%

17%

19%

28%

17%

17%

16% to 20%

12%

9%

11%

11%

9%

13%

17%

21% to 25%

15%

13%

10%

21%

9%

13%

11%

26% to 30%

7%

1%

4%

10%

1%

5%

6%

31% to 40%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

41% to 50%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

4%

1%

51% to 60%

1%

1%

 

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

61% to 70%

<.5%

<.5%

1%

 

 

<.5%

 

71% or more

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

 

2%

MEAN

15.4

14.8

13.3

17.3

13.2

14.2

15.8

A3_M.  What percent down payment do you anticipate being able to afford when you are ready to buy?

BASE:  Those with plans to purchase.

       

     Housing Status

Gender

  Age      

       

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Total

  Rent 

  Parents

   Male 

  Female

  21 – 25

  26 - 30

  31 - 34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Unweighted 'N'

998

717

262

355

643

373

388

237

0%

1%

1%

<.5%

 

 

 

 

 

1% to 5%

12%

13%

11%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

6% to 10%

29%

31%

23%

10%

15%

10%

15%

12%

11% to 15%

19%

18%

21%

28%

30%

30%

28%

29%

16% to 20%

12%

12%

13%

22%

15%

22%

18%

15%

21% to 25%

15%

15%

15%

13%

11%

15%

11%

11%

26% to 30%

7%

6%

10%

14%

15%

11%

15%

18%

31% to 40%

2%

2%

2%

6%

7%

5%

6%

8%

41% to 50%

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

51% to 60%

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

3%

61% to 70%

<.5%

<.5%

 

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

 

71% or more

1%

1%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

1%

 

 

MEAN

15.4

14.9

16.7

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

A4_M.  Major source of funding for down payment.

BASE:  Those with plans to purchase.

       

     City  

       

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Total

  Halifax

  Montreal

  Toronto

  Winnipeg

  Calgary

  Vancouver

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Unweighted 'N'

1092 

200

202

202

96

179

213 

Savings/investments

60%

65%

59%

58%

67%

66%

60%

First Time Home Buyer's RRSP Plan

30%

29%

30%

34%

25%

18%

30%

Gift from family or friends

4%

2%

4%

4%

1%

8%

2%

Inheritance/Insurance

3%

2%

6%

1%

3%

<.5%

3%

Loan from family or friends

3%

2%

1%

2%

1%

6%

5%

Bank loan/line of credit

<.5%

 

 

 

4%

 

 

Other

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

 

 

1%

<.5%

A4_M.  Major source of funding for down payment.

BASE:  Those with plans to purchase.

       

     Housing Status

Gender

  Age      

       

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Total

  Rent 

  Parents

   Male 

  Female

  21 - 25

  26 - 30

  31 - 34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Unweighted 'N'

 1092

766

305

368

724

441

408

243 

Savings/investments

60%

58%

65%

61%

59%

70%

56%

54%

First Time Home Buyer's RRSP Plan

30%

32%

27%

29%

32%

18%

36%

37%

Gift from family or friends

4%

5%

2%

3%

4%

2%

4%

5%

Inheritance/Insurance

3%

3%

2%

4%

2%

5%

2%

1%

Loan from family or friends

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

Bank loan/line of credit

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

 

<.5%

<.5%

 

Other

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

 

1%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

About BMO Financial Group

Established in 1817 as Bank of Montreal, BMO Financial Group is a highly diversified North American financial services organization.  With total assets of $356 billion as at January 31, 2007, and more than 35,000 employees, BMO provides a broad range of retail banking, wealth management and investment banking products and solutions.  BMO Financial Group serves clients across Canada through its Canadian retail arm, BMO Bank of Montreal and through its wealth management firms BMO Nesbitt Burns, BMO InvestorLine and BMO Harris Private Banking. BMO Capital Markets, our North American investment and corporate banking division, provides a full suite of financial products and services to our North American and international clients. In the United States, BMO serves clients through Chicago-based Harris, an integrated financial services organization that provides more than one million personal and business clients with banking, lending, investing, financial planning, trust administration, portfolio management, family office and wealth transfer services.

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